Publications
Our unique approach to scenario planning, corporate strategy and futures analysis yields measurable results.

Far from the Blinking Crowd

Review of several recent books relevant to strategy issues, including Blink by Malcolm Gladwell and The Wisdom of Crowds by James Surowiecki.

Right and Left Brain Strategies

Are Left Brain Strategies Superior? One of the most intractable problems in business strategy is the fact that here are two basic types of people: left-brain people who are logical, mathematical, and precise, and right-brain people who are creative, expressive, and generalist. 

The Forgivable Sin

Patrick Marren discusses a form of systemic strategic blindness that cannot be explained away with a hopeful hypothesis –“the Cassandra Paradox.” 

A Few Heads-Ups

Predicting exactly what WILL happen may be impossible. But anticipating a wide range of plausible eventualities, some of which will come to pass, is quite possible. 

The Migrating Locus of Strategy

Are companies obeying some higher law that pushes them toward lemming-like self destruction for the greater good of the economy? 

Who Is the Client?

Scenario planning clients are a unique breed, as they tend to be committed as much to the long-term success of an organization as they are to short-term results. But the dilemma never seems to go away:  Should planners maximize the prospects of the current organization and its management, or plan for long-term organizational success?

Futurists’ Fallacies: Common Errors in Long-Range Planning

Fundamental long range planning errors are neither rare nor unavoidable. But why do respected planners so often fail to anticipate seismic events?  Here we explore solutions to the challenge of future uncertainty and the value of scenario planning.