Publications
Our unique approach to scenario planning, corporate strategy and futures analysis yields measurable results.

Living in the Present

An article “from the future” illustrating the trend away from serious strategy and planning in American companies. 

Destructive Creation

The integrity and identity of any business is to some degree dependent on the external pressures exerted upon it by the competitive environment. Strategic success in eliminating that pressure may ironically be the greatest threat to continued success.

Invasion of the Kravarites

Many are the businesses have been trapped by systems of jargon into thinking that summer is going to go on forever.

High-functioning Business Strategy

A rigorous step-by-step “left-brain” process is the best way to harness the talents of intensely competent “left-brain,” “autistic” managers to imagine entirely novel situations, challenges, opportunities – and strategies. 

We’ve Got to Stop Meeting Like This

Many executives will use the same group of people to tackle all types of problems. But different problems will require different-sized groups, with different types of people. 

Losing the Bubble

The strategy process can often produce results that are the opposite of what the organization either expects or needs.

Shininess vs Usefulness

Tradeoffs are the most inescapable aspect of business strategy, if not life itself; they are also perhaps the most resolutely ignored. Scratch a strategic disaster, and usually you will come across a juicy unrecognized tradeoff.

Fish or Starve

Review of Jared Diamond's book, Collapse: How Societies Choose to Succeed or Fail, which has some interesting parallels to the world of business strategy.

Stick This in Your Stovepipe

When a business organization is in a state of imminent collapse, its vertical structures – its “stovepipes” – often remain in place, long after their usefulness has dissipated. 

The Little Prince Approach to the Future

Conventional wisdom is often right, of course. But it is also often wrong. Unless planners bring their implicit assumptions to the surface and test them, their plans will be obsolete very quickly.