Scenario Planning for Sustainability
Scenario planning and alternative futures are powerful tools for building corporate consensus around sustainability policies.
The Future
40 million people go missing in the future
Demographics, unlike many other scenario-planning factors, is not prone to serious uncertainty, right? Hang on…
Older and Wiser?
This is the second of two pieces about demography, focusing on another aspect, less to do with the population’s overall size than with its structure – specifically the changing composition by age group.
A Hypothesis about Working-Class Rage
Why are ordinary people revolting? Maybe…prediction?
The Wrong Way to Use History
There have been a lot of historical analogies being thrown around lately.
The presidency of Donald Trump has caused a lot of smart people (and a lot of less-well-educated ones) to dig up stuff from the past that they see as relevant to our current situation – and to where we may be headed in the near future.
Hate to Say We Told You So…
But we told you so.
Nate Silver Is A Rigged System
It's not that he's wrong. It's that Presidential elections are not baseball.
Undecideds have decided. Game over?
There’s actually less volatility in the polls than you might think.
Brexit scenarios, and the surprises still lurking
Assessing the risks of massive global disruption
Don’t fight the future, whatever it turns out to be
The highest barrier to managing strategic change is often the very success of today’s business model.