Everything is predictable. Not.
Bayesian analysis has its place – but not in real strategy development
Strategy
Anticipating the Human Factors in a Scenario Planning Experience
At the end of the day, it’s about having the right people committed to the project.
Seven Lessons for Scenario Planning
Take it from our deep experience.
Scanning the Horizon: How to Upset Your Settled Opinions
…and manage future risk and uncertainty
Fifty Shades of Green
There’s climate change. And there’s the equally messy social-political-economic contexts in which it will all play out.
What is Horizon Scanning? And what does it really tell us about the future?
To do over the horizon scanning, you need to start by seeing what is on the horizon.
Life, Death and Adaptation: How to think about the future
A narrow understanding of a business ecosystem is a constraint on imagination—and growth.
Strategic foresight requires imagination, rigor and (often) courage
Think hard before taking thorny issues off the table.
So where’s my prize for thinking long term?
…and why does the short term so often win out?
Strategic Choice: The Efficiency vs. Resilience Dilemma
The enduring lessons of the Ever Given crisis in the Suez