A Scenario Planning Bulletin
Hot Breaking News on the Fiscal Cliff!
Society and Culture
400-Word Scenario #9: Thanksgiving 2042
“Now let us all join hands and give thanks for all we have this day…
Idea-less in Gaza
Now that the happy horserace of the election is over, on to some grimmer scenarios.
Foxy Hedgehogs: “The Signal and the Noise”
Nate Silver’s book The Signal and the Noise makes a darned good case for scenario-based strategic planning…
400-Word Scenario #7: No More Newspapers
Print newspapers seem to be going away. What happens when they do? It's not all about ink and paper.
400-Word Scenario #6: Prisoners’ Dilemma Nation
Ladies and gentlemen, I have 400 words of bad news: we may look back on 2012 as “the good old days of political cooperation.”
400-Word Scenario #5: Revenge of the Real?
The Actual has its revenge upon the Virtual…
Partisan Hatred Scenario?
A hypothesis: our current terrible state of political dialogue could be an equilibrium that satisfies far deeper emotional longings than any consensus ever could.
My Team’s Okay, Your Team’s Evil
Jonathan Haidt thinks we’re weird. And as scenario consultants, we have to agree.
400-Word Scenario #3: Retirement Redistribution
A future scenario of mass wealth redistribution to a generation that just did not save enough for retirement.