400-Word Scenario #9: Thanksgiving 2042
“Now let us all join hands and give thanks for all we have this day…
Scenarios
Idea-less in Gaza
Now that the happy horserace of the election is over, on to some grimmer scenarios.
Scenario Planning, Hurricane Sandy, and Relationships
This has been a ridiculously busy and stressful week for three of our recent scenario-based strategic planning clients: the United States Coast Guard, the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey, and the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA).
Nate Silver and Data-Recency Bias
One more thought provoked by Nate Silver’s thought-provoking The Signal and the Noise.
Prediction vs. Scenario Planning: What’s Your Goal?
Nate Silver is not a household name in the scenario-planning world, not yet anyhow. But FSG partner Patrick Marren has discovered in Silver’s writings a lot of rich fodder for scenario thought, of interest to strategists, planners and risk managers.
Why Scenario-Based Planning Beats Prediction
Scenario consultants have an advantage over single-point forecasters like Nate Silver: we’re not restricted to single point forecasts.
Foxy Hedgehogs: “The Signal and the Noise”
Nate Silver’s book The Signal and the Noise makes a darned good case for scenario-based strategic planning…
Breaking New Scenario-Planning Ground with the USCG
In late September, FSG facilitated a three-day scenario-planning workshop in Westminster, MD as part of the U.S. Coast Guard’s Project Evergreen long-range planning process.
400-Word Scenario #7: No More Newspapers
Print newspapers seem to be going away. What happens when they do? It's not all about ink and paper.
400-Word Scenario #6: Prisoners’ Dilemma Nation
Ladies and gentlemen, I have 400 words of bad news: we may look back on 2012 as “the good old days of political cooperation.”