Don’t Expect the Future to be Rational
Even supposedly stable systems can be unpredictable — often because human behavior makes them that way.
Scenarios
Harari’s Stumble on the Future
Even brilliant authors tend to underestimate the complexity of the future.
What is Horizon Scanning? And what does it really tell us about the future?
To do over the horizon scanning, you need to start by seeing what is on the horizon.
Life, Death and Adaptation: How to think about the future
A narrow understanding of a business ecosystem is a constraint on imagination—and growth.
Foresight, Disaster, and Texas
When it comes to disaster preparedness, no one comes out looking all that good.
The post-COVID future is hostile to prediction
It’s about foresight — being ready for whatever the future brings.
Scenario Planning to Guide the Digital Journey
Because the strategic context matters.
2023 scenario capsules– Will you be ready?
Clients are using FSG’s capsule scenarios to jumpstart planning for a post-COVID world. Gerard Smith explains.
HBR Profiles Our Scenario-Planning Work for the US Coast Guard
https://eventhorizonstrategies.com/peter-scoblic/It’s nice to be noticed. And even nicer to be associated with a world-class organization like the Coast Guard.
Life after Covid — some Millennial perspectives
The new largest generation shares its hopes and concerns.