Alternative Populist Futures
Populism’s ascent seems to be one take-away from New Hampshire and the US election campaign so far. And it’s not too early to start thinking about the implications for the US and the world.
Risk
A Gigantic Missed Opportunity?
This week may mark the passing of a great national opportunity for the United States.
An Implausible (But True?) Interest Rate Scenario
Interesting stuff from Brad DeLong, possibly explaining much of the last decade of economic weirdness.
A Most Ironic Scenario
Some perspective from 93 years ago on Greece threatening not to pay back its monstrous debt to German and other banks.
Future Anti-Vaccinators
Opposition to proven preventive measures is not a left-right issue – and metaphorically, it also affects a lot of businesses.
In the past few days, a mighty attempt has been made by various Media Creatures to shoehorn a controversy over a measles outbreak and non-vaccination of children into yet another left-right bipolar fight.
Should We Be Worried about Plunging Oil Prices?
What's not to like about the dramatic fall in world oil prices? Here are some things to watch.
Unknown Unknowns, Scenarios and Strategic Judgment
Errol Morris’s documentary on Donald Rumsfeld is in the theatres. The film, plus a companion four-part series on the former secretary of defense in the The New York Times, raises interesting questions about knowledge, uncertainty and corporate strategy.
How Doctors – and We – Think
Scenarios are like second, third, fourth and fifth opinions.
Scenario Planning for the “Overexamined” Life
"It's rampant narcissism!" our client said last week, exasperated.
Two Very Bad Scenario Planning Data Points
Illinois and Ireland and the downside of austerity.