This is the start of a series of FSG strategic foresight blogs on what we call cross-impact analysis. More than a single, discrete methodology, it’s a way of thinking about the future that looks beyond the trends that in the present moment appear all-defining and permanent. In this initial entry FSG senior advisor (and founding …
FSG economist Robert Avila considers what could go right.
It’s seldom prudent to wait until the skies clear. They rarely do.
There’s climate change. And there’s the equally messy social-political-economic contexts in which it will all play out.
Even supposedly stable systems can be unpredictable — often because human behavior makes them that way.
To do over the horizon scanning, you need to start by seeing what is on the horizon.
Watch for hazards and detours…
The enduring lessons of the Ever Given crisis in the Suez
When it comes to disaster preparedness, no one comes out looking all that good.
“It is common sense to take a method and try it: If it fails, admit it frankly and try another. But above all, try something.”