The War on the Future
Some say our era is dominated by the war between the left and the right. But the real war right now is the war of the present against the future.
Politics and Policy
The Boston Marathon Bombing, Al Gore, Byron Reese, and Scenario Planning
While the surreal drama of the Marathon Bombing and the subsequent manhunt was going on last week, I was reading two books about the future.
The Valley of the Shadow
WIll the great institutions of society learn how to live with transparency before transparency destroys them?
Thirteen: Year of Magical Thinking
Too many hands.
400-Word Scenario #10: Fiscal Ramp to Prosperity
February 14, 2013 [Wolf News/MSDNC]: In a Valentine’s Day miracle, Congress and the administration today reached a long-term deal on the debt ceiling, taxes, and fiscal reform,
2012: Five Inevitable Things That Did Not Happen
Five things that were "bound to occur," away from which we rashly predict the media will moonwalk at warp speed in 2013.
A Scenario Planning Bulletin
Hot Breaking News on the Fiscal Cliff!
Coastal Reconstruction Scenario Planning: Superstorm Sandy and the Retreat Option
Sometimes leaders do not have the luxury of taking the long view; sometimes high-impact events compel hard decisions to be made now.
400-Word Scenario #9: Thanksgiving 2042
“Now let us all join hands and give thanks for all we have this day…
Idea-less in Gaza
Now that the happy horserace of the election is over, on to some grimmer scenarios.