Errol Morris’s documentary on Donald Rumsfeld is in the theatres. The film, plus a companion four-part series on the former secretary of defense in the The New York Times, raises interesting questions about knowledge, uncertainty and corporate strategy.
Is the current California drought about climate change or some periodically recurring rainfall shortage? The experts don't agree. Which is why planners affected by this situation should rigorously think through multiple scenarios — and their implications.
A few thoughts on this anniversary:
If JFK had lived . . .
The importance of including the seemingly impossible when writing scenarios.
Scenarios are like second, third, fourth and fifth opinions.
While the surreal drama of the Marathon Bombing and the subsequent manhunt was going on last week, I was reading two books about the future.
Why these people would think scenario planning was awesome.
Knowing the future sounds great… but what about afterwards?
Institutions change faster and more completely than we think. An example from some recent reading: Harvard University.
Too many hands.