A Purely Cognitive Argument Against “Enhanced Interrogation Techniques”
Why torture almost certainly can't work in the real world.
Miscellaneous
JFK + 50: Alternative Scenarios
A few thoughts on this anniversary:
If JFK had lived . . .
Robust Near-Earth Asteroid Scenarios
Scenario planners are always on the lookout for “wild cards” — low-probability, high-impact events that can occur across multiple scenarios. Like near-Earth asteroids.
A Letter to a Great Client
I've had this one written in my head for at least ten years, because some clients are so good that you take nothing for granted.
The Valley of the Shadow
WIll the great institutions of society learn how to live with transparency before transparency destroys them?
De Rerum Mutandorum
Institutions change faster and more completely than we think. An example from some recent reading: Harvard University.
400-Word Scenario #9: Thanksgiving 2042
“Now let us all join hands and give thanks for all we have this day…
400-Word Scenario #5: Revenge of the Real?
The Actual has its revenge upon the Virtual…
My Team’s Okay, Your Team’s Evil
Jonathan Haidt thinks we’re weird. And as scenario consultants, we have to agree.
400-Word Scenario #3: Retirement Redistribution
A future scenario of mass wealth redistribution to a generation that just did not save enough for retirement.