Brexit scenarios, and the surprises still lurking
Assessing the risks of massive global disruption
Economy
It’s Getting Hard to Write Free Trade Scenarios
We may have already seen the high-water mark of globalization.
A Worrisome Recession Scenario
What will sustain the global economy in these perilous times?
Some Upbeat Scenarios for 2016
When it comes to feel-good scenarios about the future, FSG scenario planners tend to be a circumspect bunch. Still, on the occasion of New Year's, we're not beyond putting a positive spin on current events. Here's what gives us hope…
Multiple Alternative Future Scenarios Wanted
What to do when Nobel-winning economists disagree? Create alternative scenarios, of course.
A Gigantic Missed Opportunity?
This week may mark the passing of a great national opportunity for the United States.
An Implausible (But True?) Interest Rate Scenario
Interesting stuff from Brad DeLong, possibly explaining much of the last decade of economic weirdness.
A Most Ironic Scenario
Some perspective from 93 years ago on Greece threatening not to pay back its monstrous debt to German and other banks.
New Year Scenario Irony Alert
2015 is starting out as a year of unexpected paradoxes and amusing contradictions.
How We Might Not Have Gotten to Now
Steven Johnson’s How We Got to Now – and why we might not get to Then.