Why Driverless Cars Are Still Not
Autonomous vehicle technology has made great strides, but a fascinating confluence of non-technology factors continues to inhibit the sector.
Decision-making and Judgment
Unknown Unknowns, Scenarios and Strategic Judgment
Errol Morris’s documentary on Donald Rumsfeld is in the theatres. The film, plus a companion four-part series on the former secretary of defense in the The New York Times, raises interesting questions about knowledge, uncertainty and corporate strategy.
Scenario Perspectives on California Drought
Is the current California drought about climate change or some periodically recurring rainfall shortage? The experts don't agree. Which is why planners affected by this situation should rigorously think through multiple scenarios — and their implications.
Scenario Planning Bible
The U.S. Coast Guard releases version 3.0 of Creating and Sustaining Strategic Intent in the U.S. Coast Guard.
How Doctors – and We – Think
Scenarios are like second, third, fourth and fifth opinions.
The War on the Future
Some say our era is dominated by the war between the left and the right. But the real war right now is the war of the present against the future.
The Boston Marathon Bombing, Al Gore, Byron Reese, and Scenario Planning
While the surreal drama of the Marathon Bombing and the subsequent manhunt was going on last week, I was reading two books about the future.
Scenario Planning: Warren Buffett, Gottfried von Leibniz, Blaise Pascal, and Peter Bernstein
Why these people would think scenario planning was awesome.
De Rerum Mutandorum
Institutions change faster and more completely than we think. An example from some recent reading: Harvard University.
Thirteen: Year of Magical Thinking
Too many hands.