Hate to Say We Told You So…
But we told you so.
Decision-making and Judgment
Nate Silver Is A Rigged System
It's not that he's wrong. It's that Presidential elections are not baseball.
Don’t fight the future, whatever it turns out to be
The highest barrier to managing strategic change is often the very success of today’s business model.
Scenario Planning and Alternative Futures
Uncluttering the jargon that describes what we do.
Article on Preparing for Acquisitions – and Scenarios
An article in Acquisitions International by Joseph Feldman has a bit to say about using scenario planning in acquisitions. The article (see link) begins on p. 13.
A Gigantic Missed Opportunity?
This week may mark the passing of a great national opportunity for the United States.
This Never Happened
Future scenarios require a past, because there's no data about the future.
Future Anti-Vaccinators
Opposition to proven preventive measures is not a left-right issue – and metaphorically, it also affects a lot of businesses.
In the past few days, a mighty attempt has been made by various Media Creatures to shoehorn a controversy over a measles outbreak and non-vaccination of children into yet another left-right bipolar fight.
A Purely Cognitive Argument Against “Enhanced Interrogation Techniques”
Why torture almost certainly can't work in the real world.