The War on the Future
Some say our era is dominated by the war between the left and the right. But the real war right now is the war of the present against the future.
Business
Scenario Planning: Warren Buffett, Gottfried von Leibniz, Blaise Pascal, and Peter Bernstein
Why these people would think scenario planning was awesome.
400-Word Scenario #7: No More Newspapers
Print newspapers seem to be going away. What happens when they do? It's not all about ink and paper.
400-Word Scenario #5: Revenge of the Real?
The Actual has its revenge upon the Virtual…
400-Word Scenario #1: Clawback World
Scenario planning requires imagination. Everyone likes to pretend that imagination is fun and games. But really, imagination is often very difficult and painful, because it requires us not just to take incremental steps along a pre-existing path, but to make up an entirely different path.
U.S. Election Scenario Data Points: June 1, 2012
May job numbers come in weak for yet another month, after some hopeful signs in the first quarter. Some scenarios for the election campaign are coming into focus.
Global Trade and Logistics Scenarios
In mid-May, FSG principals facilitated a scenario-planning exercise for the Port Commerce Department of the Port Authority of New York & New Jersey. Under the guidance of FSG and our partner, Cargo Velocity, some 60 workshop participants devoted three days to exploring the strategic implications of five alternative future operating environments for maritime trade and logistics.
Scenario Consultant Perspective: Friday’s Naive Two-By-Two Matrix
Paul Krugman’s column today induces us to create scenarios…it’s what we do.
Quick & Dirty Scenarios: Francois Hollande, Greece, and Us
Some quick and dirty scenarios about this past weekend’s EuroChaos in France and Greece.
Fault Lines: Two Years Later, Some Scenarios
Scenario fodder for the week: Raghuram Rajan's "Fault Lines: How Hidden Fractures Still Threaten the World Economy" won many awards as best business book of 2010. A couple of years on, it's worth examining Rajan's major theses to see how they have played out.