Pondering the Uncertain Future of Investment
Much uncertainty, yes. But there always is.
Strategic Surprise: When systems stop working
…and there’s no plan.
Seven Lessons for Scenario Planning
Take it from our deep experience.
AI Scenarios: Getting Beyond Our Reflex to Imagine the Worst
The complex AI future requires it…
Texas, Tennessee and a Tipping Point on Guns?
Some early signs of change.
Signals: Is the future of Texas the US’ future?
It’s a complicated question.
Signals: Homeowner’s Insurance, China and Hyperbole
Shorter reflections on some things in the news, from a distinctly FSG perspective.
Hopeful 2023 Scenario Bits
Happy Holidays!
The Continuity Trap
Eluding it requires rigorous imagination…
The Futility of Expert Prediction
We need less certainty, wider imaginations.