Robust Near-Earth Asteroid Scenarios
Scenario planners are always on the lookout for “wild cards” — low-probability, high-impact events that can occur across multiple scenarios. Like near-Earth asteroids.
A Letter to a Great Client
I've had this one written in my head for at least ten years, because some clients are so good that you take nothing for granted.
Mideast Scenarios, or “Damn, We’re Good”
Where will the Arab Spring and Syria take the Middle East? Well, we kind of called it in 2011.
Where Pointy Heads Meet Pointy Pencils: Scenario Planning and Market Modeling
Scenario planning and quantitative modeling can often be clashing analytical tools. But two FSG consultants innovatively combined them for the benefit of a car company in South America.
The Inevitable Not Happening?
The importance of including the seemingly impossible when writing scenarios.
Airline Scenarios: American-US Airways
Normally we are into alternative scenarios. But airlines seem to be stuck in one scenario.
How Doctors – and We – Think
Scenarios are like second, third, fourth and fifth opinions.
Scenario Planning for the “Overexamined” Life
"It's rampant narcissism!" our client said last week, exasperated.
Two Very Bad Scenario Planning Data Points
Illinois and Ireland and the downside of austerity.