Are we on the cusp of an “inflection point” ?
What does that mean? And how would we know?
Book Review: Nate Silver’s “On the Edge: The Art of Risking Everything”
Just in time for the coming US presidential election, FSG’s Patrick Marren warns about prediction in situations of strategic consequence in his review of Nate Silver’s On the Edge: The Art of Risking Everything.
The complex puzzle of US population scenarios
Uncertainty around immigration, birthrates, the economy and even the environment challenge us to think about not one but multiple US population scenarios.
Examining the Matriarchy Scenario
Gains for women, but more evolution than revolution
What Won’t Change in Our Uncertain Future?
Human nature, for one…
Everything is predictable. Not.
Bayesian analysis has its place – but not in real strategy development
Anticipating the Human Factors in a Scenario Planning Experience
At the end of the day, it’s about having the right people committed to the project.
The Teleporting Value of Scenario Planning
Imagining alternative futures
Remembering Ted Gordon, 1930-2024
Rocket scientist, pioneer in futures studies, humanitarian, colleague and friend
Planning for the future is hard, and whose problem is it anyway?
Why it’s difficult to imagine the future – for ourselves and for our organizations